Massachusetts

How Fast Is COVID Surging in Boston? This Chart Shows the Spike After Christmas

The levels of COVID have begun to dwarf those of previous surges, according to data pulled from the Boston area's sewage

A graph showing COVID levels detected in Boston-area wastewater through Dec. 28, 2021.
Massachusetts Water Resources Authority

Wastewater has been used as a metric to track COVID in the Boston area since the start of the pandemic, using bits of genetic material collected in sewage to indicate how much of the virus is circulating in the community.

The latest update from the Massachusetts Water Resources Authority's tracking system, on Thursday, shows a massive spike after the Christmas holiday -- from levels that were already at record highs.

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As of Thursday, when data was available through Dec. 28, COVID levels were averaging about 6,000 RNA copies of COVID per milliliter, with the most recent tests above 10,000.

A graph showing COVID levels detected in Boston-area wastewater through Dec. 28, 2021.
Massachusetts Water Resources Authority
A graph showing COVID levels detected in Boston-area wastewater through Dec. 28, 2021.

When the data was last available, six days earlier on Nov. 22, the average was at 2,500 RNA copies of COVID per milliliter, with the most recent samples under 6,000.

A graph showing COVID levels detected in Boston-area wastewater through Dec. 22, 2021.
Massachusetts Water Resources Authority
A graph showing COVID levels detected in Boston-area wastewater through Dec. 22, 2021.

Here's that data in one animated chart to show the change:

An animation showing the spike in COVID present in Boston-area wastewater before and after Christmas.
Biobot/Animation by Asher Klein
An animation showing the spike in COVID present in Boston-area wastewater before and after Christmas.

The levels of COVID have begun to dwarf those of previous surges, while the scale of the chart's Y axis (at left) nearly triples in less than a week to be able to show it.

It's no surprise that COVID is spiking in the Boston area -- city and state data have been showing the same thing, and Wednesday's COVID case total for Massachusetts shattered the record set the previous week.

That data comes from molecular tests reported to the state, also known as PCR tests. At-home tests aren't taken into account in the state's data, and proponents of wastewater COVID detection have argued that it helps give a fuller sense of the virus' spread in a community, also including people who don't take tests at all.

We got an up-close explanation of how one Massachusetts company, Biobot Analytics, has been analyzing wastewater to monitor for coronavirus spikes in the Boston area and around the country.

The data for Boston is collected from the Massachusetts Water Resources Authority's Deer Island wastewater treatment plant and analyzed by Cambridge-based Biobot Analytics three to seven times a week.

Forty-three communities from eastern Massachusetts have their water treated at the plant, including Boston, Cambridge, Framingham and Quincy. The data cannot be linked to specific cities, towns or neighborhoods.

Other areas monitor wastewater for COVID as well -- Burlington, Vermont, detected the omicron variant in its wastewater this month before the first case was officially confirmed by the Vermont Department of Public Health.

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